Bulk News Watch Newsletter – March 2022

Iron Ore & Steel

SUCCESS IN CHINA BOOSTS METAL GIANT RIO TINTO
Source: China Daily -March 25th
China accounted for a record 57 percent of the 2021 global revenue of London-based Anglo Australian metals and mining giant Rio Tinto Group Plc, the world’s biggest iron ore miner. 
A team of inspectors from NDRC and the State Administration for Market Regulation recently visited the Dalian Commodity Exchange, NDRC said in a statement. FULL STORY

IRON ORE MARKS BEST QUARTER IN FIVE ON CHINA POLICY SUPPORT
Source: Hellenic Shipping News-April 1st
Dalian iron ore rose on Thursday, boosting a quarterly gain that was the biggest since end-2020, while the Singapore benchmark hovered around the $160 mark, as traders anticipated additional policy support to shore up China’s economy.
Further gains came for the steelmaking ingredient as Beijing on Wednesday vowed to roll out policies to stabilise the economy as soon as possible to counter downward pressure from a local COVID-19 surge and external headwinds.  ​​​FULL STORY

CHINA’S COVID-19 RESTRICTIONS COULD HELP THE DRY BULK AND CONTAINER SEGMENTS, BUT HURT TANKERS
Source: Source: Hellenic Shipping News-April 1st 
As China grapples with the effects of the pandemic and has issued a lockdown in Shanghai, shipping is expected to be impacted as well. While tankers should take a hit from the slowdown in oil consumption, the dry bulk and container segments could stand to benefit, as congestion has already increased in various ports in China.  FULL STORY

IRON ORE ARRIVALS AT CHINESE PORTS FELL SHARPLY, SHIPMENTS FROM AUSTRALIA AND BRAZIL ROSE SHARPLY
Source: Hellenic Shipping News-March 30th
SMM data showed that a total of 62 ships arrived at major ports in China from March 21 to March 27, carrying 9.72 million mt of iron ore, down 1.03 million mt on a weekly basis and 2.04 million mt from a year ago. FULL STORY 

IRON ORE PRICES IN CHINA MAY FALL SLIGHTLY THIS WEEK 
Source: Metal – March 28th  
Last week, due to the pandemic-related transportation restriction in Tangshan and Shandong, the purchasing demand of steel mills reduced, which further caused the drop in iron ore prices. Areas closely following the prices of foreign iron ores saw reduction of 80-100 yuan/mt, such as Shandong, Anhui and south Hebei. The prices in less affected areas increased slightly.​​​​​FULL STORY 

STEEL MILLS PLAN TO CURTAIL THE PRODUCTION AMID ESCALATING PANDEMIC CONTROL MEASURES?
Source: Metal – March 29th
As the pandemic has escalated again in Shanghai and surrounding areas, and the shipments to and from Wuxi city has been greatly hampered, with forced delays of deliveries. FULL STORY 

HIGHLY PROFITABLE CHINESE STEEL BECOMES GOOD SUBSTITUTE FOR EU AND MENA 
Source: Steelorbis – March 30th
Flat steel producers in Europe and the Middle East are facing a tangible shortage of re-rolled products. The war in Ukraine has not only led to a sharp rise in raw material prices around the world but has also affected the redistribution of commodity flows. Consumers are interested in slabs and hot rolled coils (HRC) from Asia, primarily from China and Southeast Asia countries, where they can find good volumes of available re-rolled materialsFULL STORY 

Coal

RUSSIAN COAL EXPORTS: 177.2 MILLION TONNES EXPORTED WITH THE EU AND CHINA THE TWO BIGGEST MARKETS
Source: Hellenic Shipping News -March 15th
​​​China and the EU were the main destinations of Russian seaborne coal exports during 2021. In a recent weekly note, shipbroker Banchero Costa said that “following a disastrous 2020, with the world hit by lockdowns and recession pretty much everywhere, global seaborne coal trade managed to rebound to some extent over the last 12 months. In the full 12 months of 2021, global seaborne coal exports increased by +4.5% y-o-y to 1168 mln tonnes, from 1117 mln tonnes in 2020, according to vessels tracking data from Refinitiv. This however is still well below the levels we had in pre-Covid times, being -9.8% down from the 1295 mln tonnes shipped during 2019. .FULL STORY 

CHINA’S SEABORNE THERMAL COAL DEMAND SEEN SET TO REBOUND ON SUMMER STOCKPILING, RAIL MAINTENANCE
Source: Hellenic Shipping News -March 31st 
China’s seaborne coal demand is likely to increase in the near term as domestic buyers look to stock up ahead of summer and railway maintenance that is expected to hamper the supply chain in April, market sources told S&P Global Commodity Insights.FULL STORY 

CHINESE THERMAL COAL DEMAND TAPERS OFF AS COVID-19 LOCKDOWNS HIT AGAIN 
Source: SP Global-March 16th 
COVID-19 cases highest since beginning of pandemic
Buyers bidding up to $20/mt lower than offers: sources
Indonesian coal supply tight, providing floor to prices

Chinese thermal coal demand is expected to be bearish in the near term, as the country imposed movement restrictions in various regions amid rising COVID-19 cases, a development which is likely to soften Asian coal prices, market sources told S&P Global Commodity Insights March 16.   ​​​​​​FULL STORY 

CLIMATE IMPACT FROM CHINA’S COAL PUSH VISIBLE FROM SPACE
Source: The Energy Bulletin – March 22nd
China’s increased reliance on coal to combat an energy shortage was never going to bode well for its ambitions to cut planet-warming emissions. Now, thanks to new analysis of satellite data, the effects of that climate choice could already be evident from space. A plume of methane, which traps over 80 times more heat than carbon dioxide in its first two decades in the atmosphere, was detected by the European Space Agency’s Sentinel-5P satellite near a remote coal mine in Inner Mongolia on March 1. ​FULL STORY 

Soybean

CHINA’S JAN-FEB IMPORTS OF BRAZIL SOYBEAN UP ON YEAR, U.S. CARGOES FALL
Source: Hellenic Shipping News -March 22nd  
China’s soybean imports from Brazil in the first two months of 2022 rose significantly from the corresponding period last year, customs data showed on Sunday.
The world’s top buyer of soybeans, China brought in 3.51 million tonnes of the oilseed from Brazil, up 241% from 1.03 million tonnes in the previous year, data from the General Administration of Customs showed.  FULL STORY 

CHINA SOYBEAN MARKET WEAKENS AMID FALLING CRUSH MARGINS, COVID-19 LOCKDOWNS
Source: SP Global -March 30th  
​​​​​​China’s soybean market has weakened on negative crush margins and lower downstream demand for vegetable oil amid COVID-19-related movement restrictions and lockdowns in many cities, market sources told S&P Global Commodity Insights.  ​​​​​​ FULL STORY 

IMPORTING COUNTRIES SEEK ALTERNATE GRAIN SUPPLIERS
Source: World Grain-March 25th  
LONDON, ENGLAND – With Ukrainian farmers — at least those who haven’t fled the country or joined the army to fight the invading Russian military — expected to plant about half as much wheat and corn this spring compared to a year ago, countries that traditionally have depended on Ukrainian wheat are seeking alternate suppliers.  FULL STORY 

CHINA TO IMPORT RECORD SOYBEAN VOLUME IN 2022-23
Sources: World Grain-March 21st     
With rising feed demand and limited availability, China is expected to import a record 100 million tonnes of soybeans in 2022-23, according to the Foreign Agricultural Service of the US Department of Agriculture (USDA).FULL STORY 

Energy

HINA CAN PLAY IMPORTANT ROLE IN SAUDI ARABIA’S ECONOMIC DIVERSIFICATION
Source: China Daily -March 22nd 
The relationship between China and Arab states dates back to antiquity. More than two thousand years ago, land and maritime Silk Roads connected the two ancient civilizations and fastened them in affinity. The discovery of the primitive port of Jeddah in 2018 during a 20-day Chinese-Saudi joint excavating mission of the ruins of al-Serrian established these historical interactions.   FULL STORY 

CHINA’S GUANGZHOU DEVELOPMENT, MEXICO PACIFIC SIGN 2 MIL MT/YEAR LNG DEAL
Source: SP Global – March 31st 
20-year deal will start when Mexico Pacific starts LNG exports 2026
LNG cargoes priced on US Henry Hub natural gas index basis

​​​​​ China’s Guangzhou Development Group, a Guangdong provincial government-owned power and natural gas supplier, agreed March 31 to buy 2 million mt/year of LNG from Mexico Pacific LNG Markets Pte. Ltd. for a 20-year period.  FULL STORY 

CHINA’S GASOLINE, GASOIL EXPORTS TO CONTINUE AS COVID-19 HITS DOMESTIC DEMAND 
Source: SP Global – March 28th
Companies to overturn NDRC’s call to limit fuel exports amid surplus stocks
April gasoline, gasoil export volumes likely to be lower than March levels
Oil demand may drop by 650,000 b/d and 400,000 b/d in March, April

China’s oil companies are likely to continue exporting gasoline and gasoil in April to ease bulging inventories at home, as the resurgence of the COVID-19 pandemic takes a toll on domestic demand, market sources told S&P Global Commodity Insights on March 28.  FULL STORY 

CHINA’S ZHOUSHAN FACES BUNKER SUPPLY CRUNCH ON DRYING VOLUMES, EXPENSIVE IMPORTS
Source: SP Global -March 24th 
China bunker supply insufficient to meet demand
Uneconomical to bring in cargoes from Singapore
Bunker suppliers cap sales volume on tight cash flow

Bunker supply in China’s Zhoushan — the country’s biggest bunkering port — is expected to tighten in the second quarter, due to unfavourable market dynamics and uneconomic pricing to bring in cargoes from Singapore, market sources said March 24. FULL STORY 

CHINA’S CNOOC PLANS NORTH SEA OIL EXIT IN STRATEGIC SHIFT
Source: Hellenic Shipping News – April 1st   
China’s biggest offshore producer CNOOC Ltd 0883.HK is preparing to exit one of the North Sea’s largest field in a strategic shift of focus to newer oil and gas developments and away from Western assets, banking and industry sources said. FULL STORY 

CHINA’S COVID LOCKDOWNS DENT OIL DEMAND, INDEPENDENT REFINERS RESELL CRUDE – TRADERS
Source: Hellenic Shipping News – March 30th  
Anti-COVID lockdowns have dampened consumption of transportation fuels in China to a point where some independent refiners have resorted to trying to resell crude purchased for delivery over the next two months, traders and analysts said. 
While other nations ease restrictions as they rebound from the pandemic, China has adhered to a ‘zero COVID-19″ policy, imposing strict restrictions to stop the virus from spreading, although its caseload is modest by global standards. FULL STORY