News & Media

09 July, 2019

America - Tropical Weather Outlook

Executive Summary:

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
2:00 PM EDT - Tue Jul 9, 2019

For the North Atlantic, Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

A broad low pressure area has emerged over Apalachee Bay in the northeastern Gulf of Mexico. Environmental conditions are expected
to be conducive for tropical cyclone formation and development over the next several days, while the system moves westward across the northern Gulf of Mexico. 

An Air Force Reserve Unit reconnaissance aircraft is scheduled to investigate the low pressure area on Wednesday, if necessary.
This disturbance has the potential to produce heavy rainfall from the Upper Texas Coast to the Florida Panhandle during the next several days.
In addition, this system could produce wind and storm surge impacts later this week or this weekend from Louisiana to the Upper Texas coast.

* Cyclone Formation chance through 48 hours – high – 70 percent.
* Cyclone Formation chance through 5 days – high – 80 percent.

We will continue to monitor activity, and send updates as we get more information.