News & Media

25 August, 2020

Hurricane Report - Hurricane Laura Update

Please see below latest updates on the tropical cyclones in the Gulf of Mexico.  

Please be sure to monitor all hourly updates issued by the NHC for the next 48- 72 hours.

Hurricane Laura is expected to be a dangerous category 3 or possible category 4 hurricane. Once Laura moved into the warm waters of the Gulf of Mexico, the intensity of the storm started to increase rapidly. 

The current path show the storm making landfall between Galveston, TX and Port Arthur, TX on Wednesday night into early Thursday morning. This is a fast moving storm, and is not expect to stall over land, however winds are a major concern all of those in the path.

Storm surge watches are in effect from Freeport Texas to San Luis Pass. Storm surges are expected to be between 10-12 feet in some areas.

Swells around the center of the storm are averaging 31 feet (9.4 meters)

 

The following ports are at Port Condition X-Ray. Port Condition Yankee is expected around 22:00 this evening. Port Condition Zulu is expected around 0800 26th August.

  • Houston, TX
  • Baytown, TX

The following ports are at Port Condition Zulu

  • Galveston, TX
  • Texas City, TX
  • New Orleans, LA
  • Pascagoula, MS
  • Gulfport, MS
  • Beaumont, TX
  • Port Arthur, TX
  • Orange, TX
  • Sabine, TX
  • Lake Charles, LA

Hurricane Port Condition WHISKEY means condition set when weather advisories indicates sustained gale force winds (39-54 mph/34-47 knots) from a tropical or hurricane force storm are predicted to make landfall at the port within 72 hours.

Hurricane Port Condition X-RAY means condition set when weather advisories indicates sustained gale force winds (39-54 mph/34-47 knots) from a tropical or hurricane force storm are predicted to make landfall at the port within 48 hours.

Hurricane Port Condition YANKEE means condition set when weather advisories indicate that sustained gale force winds (39-54 mph/34-47 knots) from a tropical or hurricane force storm are predicted to make landfall at the port within 24 hours.

Hurricane Port Condition ZULU means condition set when weather advisories indicate that sustained gale force winds (39-54 mph/34-47 knots) from a tropical or hurricane force storm are predicted to make landfall at the port within 12 hours.

Hurricane Laura

SUMMARY OF 400 PM CDT...2100 UTC...INFORMATION

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LOCATION...24.7N 88.3W

ABOUT 480 MI...770 KM SE OF LAKE CHARLES LOUISIANA ABOUT 510 MI...820 KM SE OF GALVESTON TEXAS

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...80 MPH...130 KM/H

PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 300 DEGREES AT 17 MPH...28 KM/H

MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...990 MB...29.24 INCHES

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:

A Storm Surge Warning is in effect for...

* San Luis Pass Texas to the Mouth of the Mississippi River

A Hurricane Warning is in effect for...

* San Luis Pass Texas to Intracoastal City Louisiana

A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for...

* Sargent Texas to San Luis Pass

* East of Intracoastal City Louisiana to the Mouth of the Mississippi River

A Storm Surge Watch is in effect for...

* Freeport Texas to San Luis Pass

* Mouth of the Mississippi River to Ocean Springs Mississippi

* Lake Pontchartrain, Lake Maurepas, and Lake Borgne

A Hurricane Watch is in effect for...

* East of Intracoastal City to west of Morgan City Louisiana

 

A Storm Surge Warning means there is a danger of life-threatening inundation, from rising water moving inland from the coastline, during the next 36 hours in the indicated locations. For a depiction of areas at risk, please see the National Weather Service Storm Surge Watch/Warning Graphic, available at hurricanes.gov.  This is a life-threatening situation.  Persons located within these areas should take all necessary actions to protect life and property from rising water and the potential for other dangerous conditions.  Promptly follow evacuation and other instructions from local officials.

 

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 24.7N  88.3W AT 25/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 300 DEGREES AT  15 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  990 MB

MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  70 KT WITH GUSTS TO  85 KT.

64 KT....... 40NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.

50 KT....... 60NE  60SE   0SW  40NW.

34 KT.......150NE 140SE  60SW  90NW.

12 FT SEAS..210NE 100SE  60SW 150NW.

WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 24.7N  88.3W AT 25/2100Z AT 25/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 24.3N  87.6W

FORECAST VALID 26/0600Z 25.7N  90.3W

MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.

64 KT... 40NE  30SE  25SW  30NW.

50 KT... 60NE  60SE  30SW  40NW.

34 KT...150NE 140SE  60SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 26/1800Z 27.5N  92.4W

MAX WIND  95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.

64 KT... 40NE  30SE  30SW  30NW.

50 KT... 60NE  60SE  40SW  40NW.

34 KT...140NE 130SE  60SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 27/0600Z 29.7N  93.8W...ON COAST

MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.

64 KT... 35NE  30SE  30SW  30NW.

50 KT... 60NE  60SE  50SW  50NW.

34 KT...130NE 120SE  60SW  90NW.

FORECAST VALID 27/1800Z 32.2N  93.9W...INLAND

MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.

64 KT... 20NE  20SE   0SW   0NW.

50 KT... 40NE  40SE  20SW  20NW.

34 KT... 80NE  80SE  40SW  40NW.

FORECAST VALID 28/0600Z 34.7N  93.3W...INLAND

MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.

34 KT... 30NE  40SE   0SW   0NW.

FORECAST VALID 28/1800Z 36.5N  90.9W...INLAND

MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 29/1800Z 38.5N  80.5W...INLAND 
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 30/1800Z 42.0N  66.5W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 24.7N  88.3W

INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT33 KNHC/MIATCPAT3...AT 26/0000Z

NEXT ADVISORY AT 26/0300Z

 

 

 

 

Informative Links:

Tropical Storm Force Wind Speed Probabilities HERE

Wind & Wave Analysis HERE

Forecasted Wave Height HERE

CERA – Coastal Emergency Risk Assessment (Interactive map) HERE

For more information, please contact your local Inchcape office: www.iss-shipping.com