Hurricane Fiona 22nd September Update

Fiona: The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Hurricane Fiona, located several hundred miles southwest of Bermuda. Fiona is showing signs of slow decay in satellite imagery, with the eye gradually becoming cloud filled and the eyewall convection becoming more ragged. However, this has not yet led to a significant decrease in the satellite intensity estimates, which range from 100-130 kt. The hurricane has turned north-northeastward during the past several hours with the initial motion now 025/11 kt. Fiona is expected to accelerate in a generally north-northeasterly direction for the next 24 h or so as it is steered along the southern edge of the mid-latitude westerlies. This motion should take the center northwest of Bermuda in 24-30 h

Puerto Rico: A little over 968,000 residents in Puerto Rico are still without power.

Port Conditions:

PortPort StatusCommentsLast Changed
PR, ARECIBO OpenPORTCON 49/19/2022
PR, CEIBA / ROOSEVELT ROADS OpenPORTCON 49/19/2022
PR, CULEBRA OpenPORTCON 49/19/2022
PR, FAJARDO OpenPORTCON 49/19/2022
PR, GUANICA OpenPORTCON 49/20/2022
PR, GUAYAMA / LAS MAREAS OpenPORTCON 49/20/2022
PR, GUAYANILLA OpenPORTCON 49/20/2022
PR, MAYAGUEZ OpenPORTCON 49/20/2022
PR, PONCE OpenPORTCON 49/20/2022
PR, SALINAS/AGUIRRE OpenPORTCON 49/20/2022
PR, SAN JUAN OpenPORTCON 49/21/2022
PR, TALLABOA OpenPORTCON 49/20/2022
PR, VIEQUES OpenPORTCON 49/19/2022
PR, YABUCOA OpenPORTCON 49/19/2022
ST CROIX, CHRISTIANSTED OpenPORTCON 49/19/2022
ST CROIX, FREDERIKSTED OpenPORTCON 49/19/2022
ST CROIX, KRAUSE LAGOON OpenPORTCON 49/19/2022
ST CROIX, LIMETREE BAY OpenPORTCON 49/19/2022
ST JOHN, CRUZ BAY OpenPORTCON 49/19/2022
ST JOHN, ENIGHED POND OpenPORTCON 49/19/2022
ST THOMAS, CHARLOTTE AMALIE HARBOR OpenPORTCON 49/19/2022
ST THOMAS, EAST GREGGERIE CHANNEL OpenPORTCON 49/19/2022
ST THOMAS, RED HOOK BAY OpenPORTCON 49/19/2022
ST THOMAS, WEST GREGGERIE CHANNEL OpenPORTCON 49/19/2022

Hurricane Fiona Public Advisory

ZCZC MIATCPAT2 ALL

TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM

BULLETIN

Hurricane Fiona Intermediate Advisory Number 32A

NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       AL072022

800 AM EDT Thu Sep 22 2022

…POWERFUL FIONA MOVING NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD…

…WEATHER CONDITIONS EXPECTED TO DETERIORATE IN BERMUDA LATER

TODAY…

SUMMARY OF 800 AM EDT…1200 UTC…INFORMATION

———————————————-

LOCATION…28.0N 70.6W

ABOUT 455 MI…735 KM SW OF BERMUDA

ABOUT 1210 MI…1950 KM SSW OF HALIFAX NOVA SCOTIA

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS…130 MPH…215 KM/H

PRESENT MOVEMENT…NNE OR 25 DEGREES AT 13 MPH…20 KM/H

MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE…934 MB…27.58 INCHES

WATCHES AND WARNINGS

——————–

CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

None

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:

A Hurricane Warning is in effect for…

* Bermuda

A Hurricane Warning means that hurricane conditions are expected

somewhere within the warning area.  Preparations to protect life

and property should be rushed to completion.

Interests in Atlantic Canada should monitor the progress of this

system.  Watches will likely be required for portions of Atlantic

Canada later this morning.

For storm information specific to your area, please monitor

products issued by your national meteorological service.

DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK

———————-

At 800 AM EDT (1200 UTC), the center of Hurricane Fiona was located

near latitude 28.0 North, longitude 70.6 West. Fiona is moving

toward the north-northeast near 13 mph (20 km/h).  A north-

northeastward or northeastward motion with an increase in forward

speed is expected today through Friday, followed by a somewhat

slower northward motion beginning Friday night or Saturday.  On the

forecast track, the center of Fiona will pass just to the west of

Bermuda tonight, approach Nova Scotia on Friday, and move across

Nova Scotia and into the Gulf of St. Lawrence on Saturday.

Maximum sustained winds are near 130 mph (215 km/h) with higher

gusts.  Fiona is a category 4 hurricane on the Saffir-Simpson

Hurricane Wind Scale.  Little change in strength is expected through

tonight.  Some weakening is expected to begin on Friday, but Fiona

is forecast be a large and powerful post-tropical cyclone with

hurricane-force winds when it moves over Nova Scotia Friday night

and Saturday.

Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 70 miles (110 km) from

the center and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 205

miles (335 km). NOAA buoy 41047, about 65 miles west-southwest of

the center of Fiona, recently reported a sustained wind of 52 mph

(83 km/h) and a gust to 67 mph (107 km/h) within the past hour or

two. A NOAA Saildrone located about 75 miles east-northeast of the

center has recently reported sustained winds of 56 mph (91 km/h).

The estimted minimum central pressure is 934 mb (27.58 inches).

HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND

———————-

Key messages for Hurricane Fiona can be found in the Tropical

Cyclone Discussion under AWIPS header MIATCDAT2 and WMO header

WTNT42 KNHC and on the web at hurricanes.gov/text/MIATCDAT2.shtml.

WIND: Hurricane conditions are expected on Bermuda beginning

tonight and continuing through Friday morning.

RAINFALL:  Fiona is forecast to produce the following rainfall:

Bermuda: 2 to 4 inches.

Nova Scotia, Prince Edward Island, and western Newfoundland: 3 to 6

inches, with local maximum up to 10 inches. This rainfall could

result in areas of flooding, some of which may be significant in

nature.

Eastern Quebec: 2 to 5 inches.

Eastern New Brunswick: 1 to 3 inches.

STORM SURGE:  A storm surge will cause elevated water levels along

the coast of Bermuda in areas of onshore winds beginning tonight.

Near the coast, the surge will be accompanied by large and

destructive waves.

SURF:  Swells generated by Fiona are affecting the Turks and

Caicos Islands, the Bahamas, the southeastern United States

coast, and Bermuda.  These swells will continue to spread

northwestward across the western Atlantic toward the mid-Atlantic

and northeast coasts of the United States over the next day or so. 

The swells will also reach Atlantic Canada on Friday. These swells

are likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip current

conditions.  Please consult products from your local weather office.

NEXT ADVISORY

————-

Next complete advisory at 1100 AM EDT.

$$

Forecaster Brown